John Tierney has published an article in the New York Times this week, Cognitive Dissonance in Monkeys – The Monty Hall Problem.
The Monty Hall Problem has struck again, and this time its not merely embarrassing mathematicians. If the calculations of a Yale economist are correct, theres a sneaky logical fallacy in some of the most famous experiments in psychology.
The article and his two follow-up posts on his New York Times Blog, TierneyLab, contain the clearest explanations for the Monty Hall problem I’ve ever read. If after reading the article and posts (linked below) with comments, you still can’t quite get your head around this classic problem in probability, post a comment here and I’ll try to help.